The number of additional deaths could be kept to under 400 if mask-use rises to near universal levels, according to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), which is based at the University of Washington.
Britain's Health Secretary Matt Hancock has said the sharp rise in daily COVID-19 cases reported in the United Kingdom on Sunday - the highest since May - was "concerning". Only Brazil and the United States have more infections, with 4,123,000 and 6,245,866 respectively, Johns Hopkins said. The letter addressed to the Security Council says that the Democratic Republic of Congo, northeastern Nigeria, South Sudan and Yemen are teetering on the brink of famines, as a result of a combination of factors "compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic" and that millions of lives are in danger.
The U.S. death rate projected by the IHME design, which has actually been pointed out by the White House Coronavirus Task Force, would more than triple the existing death rate of some 850 daily. And in the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the US will die from Covid-19 in 2020.More news: Boris Johnson to Give EU 38 Days to Reach Brexit Deal
It previously projected 317,697 deaths by December 1.
Experts said death rates could drop by 30% if Americans wore masks, but mask-wearing has declined significantly, experts told Reuters. Conversely, if restrictions are eased, the toll could be much higher by New Year's Day.
The research predicts 2,940 deaths in Ireland by January 1st if mask-use remains at current levels.More news: Kamala Harris says she won’t take Trump’s word about a coronavirus vaccine
According to Bloomberg, the forecast suggests a worst-case scenario could lead to 620,029 deaths.
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicted this week that the nation would reach between 200,000 and 211,000 deaths from the virus by September 26. That would be about 225,000 more COVID-19 deaths.
In the "best case" scenario, two million people will be dead across the globe by the end of the year and there will be anywhere from 257,286 to 327,775 COVID-19 fatalities in the U.S.More news: Novak Djokovic disqualified from the US Open
Now its predictions - which some have criticised for looking too far into the future - have suggested the total death toll for the virus could stand at 2.8 million by 1 January 2021 unless governments reconsider easing measures created to mitigate the spread of Sars-Cov-2, the virus which causes COVID-19.