Last winter ranked among the warmest third in historical records, 1.8 degrees above normal averaged over the nation.
Temperatures are not expected to dip below average anywhere in the country from December to February, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced Thursday in its "Winter Outlook". "Although a weak El Nino is expected, it may still influence the winter season by bringing wetter conditions across the southern United States, and warmer, drier conditions to parts of the North".
A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States, according to the seasonal forecast released Thursday by NOAA.
The northwestern United States, including parts of Northern California near the OR border, is likely to see the highest chances of warmer temperatures. The southern states of the USA, as well as those in the Mid-Atlantic, are expected to receive above-normal precipitation.
Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and OH are forecast to be drier than normal, with the biggest likelihood in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan.More news: IPhone XR is finally available to pre-order
Above-average rainfall is most likely northern Florida and southern Georgia this winter.
Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and OH are forecast to be drier than normal, with the biggest likelihood in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan.
Another factor in the forecast, Halper said, is long-term warming from human-caused climate change.
The middle belt of the nation, and some of the north from California to NY, can go any which way on precipitation.
"All things being equal, the slight kick we get out of the climate signal does tilt things toward the warm side", Halpert said; cautioning, however, that that's not enough to outweigh other factors if they push toward cold.More news: Brewers vs. Dodgers, NLCS Game 6
The weather services forecast doesnt look at snow likelihood.
The balmy prediction is due to the roughly 75% chance of an El Niño developing. In the Mid-Atlantic region, the amount of snow has depended on the strength of El Nino.
The winter, it said, will be "colder-than-normal... from the Continental Divide east through the Appalachians".
The Climate Prediction Center's outlook seems to at least indirectly contradict the one released by the 2019 Farmers' Almanac, an annual Lewiston-based publication which uses a mathematical and astronomical formula created in 1818 to come up with long-range forecasts.More news: Red Sox Celebrate World Series Berth With Boston Booze Party